Week 6: 4-3 (+0.79u)

2026 Season Record: 23-23 (50.0%), -1.15u

Against the Spread

• 49ers -2.5 @ Falcons

• Rams -3.5 @ Raiders

• Chiefs +3 @ Seahawks

• Eagles +4.5 vs Cowboys

Over/Under

• 49ers/Falcons Under 50.5

• Buccaneers/Panthers Over 44.5

• Rams/Raiders Under 48.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 5: 4-3 (+0.79u)

2026 Season Record: 19-20 (48.7%), -1.94u

Against the Spread

• Jaguars -2.5 vs Texans (in London)

Over/Under

• Texans/Jaguars Over 42.5 (in London)

• Bears/Falcons Under 52.5

• Cardinals/Rams Under 51.5

• Chargers/Chiefs Over 41.5

• Cowboys/Packers Under 53.5

• Commanders/49ers Under 51.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 4: 2-7 (-5.02u)

2026 Season Record: 15-17 (46.9%), -2.73u

Against the Spread

• Ravens +3.5 @ Falcons

• Bills +3.5 @ Rams

Over/Under

• Eagles/Jaguars Over 41.5 (in London)

• Raiders/Patriots Over 44.5

• Vikings/Saints Over 42.5

• Colts/Steelers Under 43.5

• Ravens/Falcons Over 43.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

2026 Season Record: 13-10 (56.6%), +2.29u

• Spread: 8-4 (66.7%), +3.56u

• O/U: 5-6 (45.5%), -1.27u
  

Against the Spread

• Cowboys +3 @ Texans

  • Unlike Vegas, I’m expecting a lower-scoring grind of a game here between two teams who defend the run very well. So then it becomes can Dallas get the pass game going against Houston’s excellent pass defense, or, can Houston’s anemic passing offense come to life against the Swiss cheese of Dallas’ secondary. Perhaps it’s not what my analogies would lead you to but I actually think bracketing (an injured) Nico Collins will work well and the Cowboys can contain Houston well enough on the road.

• Packers -3.5 @ Buccaneers (key pick)

  • I find myself one of the few LaFleur believers left (and honestly think there’s a much stronger case Bowles should be fired). This sets up as a great get-right spot. Bowles will get funky with the coverage disguises which is my only concern but Packers defense against a QB in their first start ever with a spread this small feels solid to me.

• Vikings -10.5 vs Dolphins

  • Going back through the archives I can confirm this is the first time a double digit favourite has ever been in this newsletter! I usually shy away from these even when I think they’re decent bets but Brian Flores’ blitz packages against Malik Willis is the equivalent of a nuclear bomb against a coughing baby. Take away Achane and Miami’s EPA/play fell off a cliff last week - my model has this over a 15pt spread with MIN at home. If you look hard enough some books have this at 9.5, and the public is actually slightly more on Miami too which is nice.

• Chargers +7 @ Seahawks

  • Public is 67% on Seattle here and I get why, but people need to remember we are one good Chargers offensive week away from them being priced at competitive lines against anyone - expectations will change very quickly if they can figure it out. I can’t quit the prospect of McDaniel against a defense just allowed over 30 to Marcus Mariota.

• Lions -3.5 @ Panthers

  • It’s very unlike me to pick all these road favourites but again this one is mispriced in my view. Panthers have put up points this year but the quality of this offense still feels shaky holding up as the season goes on. On the other hand, the Lions defensive efficiency feels like a negative outlier that will revert positively (bottom 3 in EPA/play allowed, 3rd down efficiency). Public is slightly more on Panthers too - obviously famous last words if they win but I’m betting on this being the peak of how people price the Panthers.

• Saints -2.5 vs Falcons (key pick)

  • You can also find this -1.5 if you look hard enough (but happy to play it either way). The Falcons performance last week has to be one of the strangest results this year and after looking at it every which way I’ve come to the (maybe naïve) conclusion that the best way forward is to pretend it never happened, in which case this spread would be closer to 5.

Over/Under

• Jaguars/Bengals Over 51.5

  • Like the Vikings bet, this is only the second time ever I’ve included an over on a line above 50. Everything here sets up as a shootout - I suspect the public has more confidence in the Jaguars offense showing up but even at a line this high, it smells to me like there is hesitancy with the Bengals putting up 23-25+, this is a team that usually only gets better through the year.

• Cowboys/Texans Under 47.5 (key pick)

  • As I alluded to above, I frankly just see this game going different to Vegas and think I have the evidence on my side so will continue to follow that narrative here.

• Cardinals/Giants Under 44.5

  • Not particularly sure of who will this game but not much of a reason to think either offence will be too explosive. Cardinals have played very slow this year (in fairness, they’ve done it protecting leads, but that could happen again here).

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 2: 5-4 (+0.78u)

2026 Season Record: 8-8 (50%), -0.46 units

Against the Spread

• Lions -6.5 vs Jets (key pick)

• Giants -2.5 vs Titans

• Cowboys +4.5 vs Ravens (in Brazil)

• Saints -3 vs Raiders (key pick)

Over/Under

• Jets/Lions Under 48.5

• Patriots/Jags Under 45.5

• Cardinals/49ers Under 47.5 (key pick)

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 1: 3-4 (-1.24u)

Against the Spread

• Bengals +2.5 @ Texans

• Patriots -4.5 vs Steelers

• Seahawks -4.5 vs Cardinals

Over/Under

• Bengals/Texans Under 45.5

• Packers/Jets Under 44.5

• Jaguars/Broncos Over 45.5

• Chargers/Raiders Over 43.5

• Seahawks/Cardinals Over 41.5

• Colts/Chiefs Under 46.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Recap of 2025 picks

As always, betting performance is tracked and verified by BettingPros.

Last year, we finished with a 53-45 record (54.1%) with a profit of +5.80 units (1 unit/bet).

• Spread: 26-22 (54.2%), +2.93 units

• O/U: 27-23 (54.0%), +2.87 units

This placed 36th out of 283 experts. Not bad, but we’ll be aiming for that 1st place we got back in 2022!

This brings Touchdown Squad’s lifetime record (since 2020) to 467-354-10 (56.9%), +89.88 units:

• Spread: 254-192-5 (57.0%), +37.35 units

• O/U: 213-162-5 (56.8%), +52.53 units

Week 1 Picks

To be honest, in most years Weeks 1-3 are where the money’s made. Models and intuition can typically outpace bookies in terms of adjusting to new schemes but this year, the shifts seem to be well understood and value is definitely harder to find. Mainly:

• O/U are on average 1.5 points higher in Week 1s each year, though they turn out to be +2.9 points vs expectation when adjusting for game situations based on our analysis in the last 5 years. I hold the opinion though with the shift being towards heavier sets now (ie more 12, 13 personnel - especially among previously prolific offenses), points total expectations should be tempered and while opening lines looked to have been more valuable, it seems most of them have come back towards me. We will have our chances for example with DET who play lighter sets (although keeping only 6 WRs on the roster doesn’t help), but that time isn’t yet…

• For spreads, new coordinators/HCs who were previously playcallers tend to be tricky since the public goes aggressive on them, and consequently Vegas usually does well. With that being said, I find this year’s crop like Kubiak or McDaniel tougher to fade, mostly since I just believe in them and think they have good environments. So as a similar but maybe underlooked theme, this year I’m targeting the new playcallers on new teams (think Declan Doyle in BAL or Mannion in Philly, for example).

Against the Spread

• Ravens -3.5 @ Colts

  • Happy to fade the Colts this year and as mentioned above I think there’s upside suprise potential for Doyle in BAL. This is a guy who’s been handpicked and learnt under both McVay and Payton.

• Browns +8.5 @ Jaguars

  • Definitely feels gross but given how big the line is, feels like you're getting good value for being contrarian. Public is over 80% on JAX so that helps too.

• Cowboys -2.5 @ Giants (key pick)

  • Long-time fans will know we’ve done lots of analysis on these NFC East games before. Spreads are usually deceptively small but DAL plays well here, and while NYG under Harbaugh will be more competitive, I am surprised the spread is this small given potential snap counts for key NYG offensive pieces.

Over/Under

• Buccaneers/Bengals Under 50.5

  • Doesn’t feel good to side with the public here but have to agree the line is aggressive. CIN offense is explosive but TB defense shouldn’t be doubted this much.

• Browns/Jaguars Over 40.5

  • This is essentially a bet on Monken and/or Coen having some tricks up their sleeve that surprise defenses coming out of the offseason.

• Jets/Titans Over 39.5 38.5

  • Another contrarian pick that will either hit big or miss big, but I’d rather bet on the former. Jets defense is horrific and maybeee Geno can still make this thing go. Public is heavily, and I mean heavily (92%!), on the Under.

• Packers/Vikings Over 45.5 (key pick)

  • Back in 2022, KOC’s first game as a HC was a blowout win vs the Packers in Week 1. While I doubt that happens again, these are two fantastic playcallers who seemingly each have offensive hurdles the market is punishing them for. In GB, people are overreacting to Jacobs’ absence - Lafleur has really never been reliant on any one skill-position player, let alone an aging, inefficient buiser back; and in MIN, well we’ll just start betting on them until people get how good this Kyler/KOC combo is gonna be…

  • Edit: As of 7 hours before 1pm kickoffs, this line has moved to 46.5. I would still feel fine playing it but it is less attractive than before.

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

1. Las Vegas Raiders: Fernando Mendoza (QB, Indiana)

2. New York Jets: David Bailey (EDGE, Texas Tech)

3. Arizona Cardinals: Francis Mauigoa (OL, Miami)

4. Tennessee Titans: Sonny Styles (LB, Ohio State)

5. New York Giants: Jeremiyah Love (RB, Notre Dame)

6. Cleveland Browns: Spencer Fano (OL, Utah)

7. Washington Commanders: Carnell Tate (WR, Ohio State)

8. New Orleans Saints: Arvell Reese (EDGE, Ohio State)

9. Kansas City Chiefs: Mansoor Delane (CB, LSU)

10. New York Giants: Jordyn Tyson (WR, Arizona State)

11. Miami Dolphins: Kadyn Proctor (OL, Alabama)

12. Dallas Cowboys: Rueben Bain (DL, Miami)

13. Los Angeles Rams: Monroe Freeling (OL, Georgia)

14. Baltimore Ravens: Olaivavega Ioane (OL, Penn State)

15. TRADE: New York Giants: Caleb Downs (S, Ohio State)

16. TRADE: Arizona Cardinals: Ty Simpson (QB, Alabama)

17. Detroit Lions: Blake Miller (OL, Clemson)

18. Minnesota Vikings: Peter Woods (DL, Clemson)

19. Carolina Panthers: Dillon Thieneman (S, Oregon)

20. Dallas Cowboys: Malachi Lawrence (DL, UCF)

21. Pittsburgh Steelers: Omar Cooper Jr. (WR, Indiana)

22. Los Angeles Chargers: Chris Johnson (CB, San Diego State)

23. Philadelphia Eagles: Max Iheanachor (OL, Arizona State)

24. Cleveland Browns: Makai Lemon (WR, USC)

25. Chicago Bears: Kayden McDonald (DL, Ohio State)

26. TRADE: Detroit Lions: Keldric Faulk (DL, Auburn)

27. San Francisco 49ers: KC Concepcion (WR, Texas A&M)

28. TRADE: Dallas Cowboys: Jermod McCoy (CB, Tennessee)

29. Kansas City Chiefs: Kenyon Sadiq (TE, Oregon)

30. Miami Dolphins: Caleb Lomu (OL, Utah)

31. New England Patriots: Zion Young (DL, Missouri)

32. Seattle Seahawks: Colton Hood (CB, Tennessee)

Top 100 Prospects

Round 1 Grade

1. Caleb Downs, Ohio State, S

2. Sonny Styles, Ohio State, LB

3. Jeremiyah Love, Notre Dame, RB

4. Kenyon Sadiq, Oregon, TE

5. Arvell Reese, Ohio State, EDGE

6. Monroe Freeling, Georgia, OT

7. Kadyn Proctor, Alabama, OT

8. Carnell Tate, Ohio State, WR

9. Jermod McCoy, Tennessee, CB

10. David Bailey, Texas Tech, EDGE

11. Makai Lemon, USC, WR

12. Rueben Bain Jr., Miami, EDGE

13. Francis Mauigoa, Miami, OT

14. Avieon Terrell, Clemson, CB

15. Mansoor Delane, LSU, CB

16. Fernando Mendoza, Indiana, QB

17. Spencer Fano, Utah, OT

18. Dillon Thieneman, Oregon, S

19. KC Concepcion, Texas A&M, WR

Round 2 Grade

20. Omar Cooper Jr., Indiana, WR

21. Keldric Faulk, Auburn, EDGE

22. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Toledo, S

23. Olaivavega Ioane, Penn State, IOL

24. Akheem Mesidor, Miami, EDGE

25. Jordyn Tyson, Arizona State, WR

26. Caleb Lomu, Utah, OT

27. Max Iheanachor, Arizona State, OT

28. Caleb Banks, Florida, DL

29. TJ Parker, Clemson, EDGE

30. Chris Johnson, San Diego State, CB

31. Zion Young, Missouri, EDGE

32. Cashius Howell, Texas A&M, EDGE

33. Blake Miller, Clemson, OT

34. Brandon Cisse, South Carolina, CB

35. Malachi Lawrence, UCF, EDGE

36. Peter Woods, Clemson, DL

37. Denzel Boston, Washington, WR

38. Anthony Hill Jr., Texas, LB

39. Lee Hunter, Texas Tech, DL

40. Jacob Rodriguez, Texas Tech, LB

41. Keionte Scott, Miami, CB

42. Derrick Moore, Michigan, EDGE

43. Emmanuel Pregnon, Oregon, IOL

44. R Mason Thomas, Oklahoma, EDGE

45. Bud Clark, TCU, S

46. Jalon Kilgore, South Carolina, CB

47. Dani Dennis-Sutton, Penn State, EDGE

48. Colton Hood, Tennessee, CB

Round 3 Grade

49. Germie Bernard, Alabama, WR

50. Keylan Rutledge, Georgia Tech, IOL

51. Jake Golday, Cincinnati, LB

52. Treydan Stukes, Arizona, CB

53. De’Zhaun Stribling, Ole Miss, WR

54. Kyle Louis, Pittsburgh, LB

55. Romello Height, Texas Tech, EDGE

56. Keyron Crawford, Auburn, EDGE

57. AJ Haulcy, LSU, S

58. Gabe Jacas, Illinois, EDGE

59. Christen Miller, Georgia, DL

60. Chris Bell, Louisville, WR

61. CJ Allen, Georgia, LB

62. Garrett Nussmeier, LSU, QB

63. Jadarian Price, Notre Dame, RB

64. Caleb Tiernan, Northwestern, OT

65. Kamari Ramsey, USC, S

66. Eli Stowers, Vanderbilt, TE

67. Ted Hurst, Georgia State, WR

68. Ty Simpson, Alabama, QB

69. Davison Igbinosun, Ohio State, CB

70. Max Klare, Ohio State, TE

71. Mike Washington Jr., Arkansas, RB

72. D’Angelo Ponds, Indiana, CB

73. Daylen Everette, Georgia, CB

74. Antonio Williams, Clemson, WR

75. Malik Muhammad, Texas, CB

76. Kayden McDonald, Ohio State, DL

77. Chris Brazzell II, Tennessee, WR

78. Joshua Josephs, Tennessee, EDGE

79. Chase Bisontis, Texas A&M, IOL

80. Gracen Halton, Oklahoma, DL

81. Bryce Lance, North Dakota State, WR

82. Elijah Sarratt, Indiana, WR

83. Gennings Dunker, Iowa, OT

84. Jaishawn Barham, Michigan, EDGE

85. Jake Slaughter, Florida, C

86. Chandler Rivers, Duke, CB

87. Keith Abney II, Arizona State, CB

88. Oscar Delp, Georgia, TE

89. Josiah Trotter, Missouri, LB

90. Zachariah Branch, Georgia, WR

Round 4 Grade

91. Domonique Orange, Iowa State, DL

92. Deion Burks, Oklahoma, WR

93. Logan Jones, Iowa, C

94. Jalen Farmer, Kentucky, IOL

95. Zakee Wheatley, Penn State, S

96. Malachi Fields, Notre Dame, WR

97. Travis Burke, Memphis, OT

98. Markel Bell, Miami, OT

99. Brenen Thompson, Mississippi State, WR

100. Connor Lew, Auburn, C

101. (Honourable Mention) Sam Hecht, C, Kansas State

Week 10: 5-4 (+0.71u)

2025 Season Record: 42-40 (51.2%), +1.02 units

Against the Spread

• 49ers -5 at Browns

• Colts -3 vs Texans

• Vikings +12.5 at Seahawks

Over/Under

• Rams/Panthers Under 46

• Saints/Dolphins Over 41.5

• Texans/Colts Over 44

• Bills/Steelers Over 45.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 10: 5-2 (+2.79u)

2025 Season Record: 37-36 (50.7%), +0.31 units

Against the Spread

• Bengals +7.5 vs Patriots

• Titans +12.5 vs Seahawks

• Vikings +6.5 at Packers

• Chiefs -3.5 vs Colts

• Jaguars -2.5 at Cardinals

• Cowboys +3 vs Eagles

Over/Under

• Giants/Lions Under 49.5

• Buccaneers/Rams Over 49.5

• Panthers/49ers Under 49.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 9: 5-4 (+0.74u)

2025 Season Record: 32-34 (48.5%), -2.48 units

Against the Spread

• Saints +5.5 at Panthers

• Dolphins +9.5 vs Bills

• Packers -1 vs Eagles

Over/Under

• Giants/Bears Under 47.0

• Patriots/Buccaneers Under 48.5

• Lions/Commanders Under 49.5

• Cardinals/Seahawks Under 45.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 8: 1-6 (-5.02u)

2025 Season Record: 27-30 (47.4%), -3.22 units

Against the Spread

• Bengals +2.5 vs Bears

• 49ers -2.5 @ Giants

• Steelers +3.5 vs Colts

• Jaguars -2.5 @ Raiders

• Cowboys -3 vs Cardinals

Over/Under

• 49ers/Giants Under 48.5

• Jaguars/Raiders Over 43.5

• Saints/Rams Over 43.5

• Cardinals/Cowboys Under 53.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 6: 2-5 (-3.22u)

2025 Season Record: 26-24 (52.0%), +0.56 units

Against the Spread

• Dolphins +7 @ Falcons

• Cowboys +3.5 @ Cowboys

• Titans +14.5 @ Colts

• Commanders +11.5 @ Chiefs

Over/Under

• Bills/Panthers Under 46.5

• Cowboys/Broncos Under 50.5

• Titans/Colts Under 47.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Last Week: 6-3 (+2.78u)

2025 Season Record: 24-19 (55.8%), +3.77 units

Against the Spread

• Cowboys -3

• Jaguars +1.5

• 49ers +3.5

Over/Under

• Rams/Ravens Over 44.5

• Cardinals/Colts Under 46.5

• Patriots/Saints Under 45.5

• Bills/Falcons Under 49.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Last Week: 5-2 (+2.75u)

2025 Season Record: 18-16 (52.9%), +0.99 units

Against the Spread

• Ravens +1.5

• Dolphins -1.5

• Cowboys -1.5

• Buccaneers +3.5

Over/Under

• Vikings/Browns Over 35.5

• Texans/Ravens Over 40.5

• Cowboys/Jets Under 47.5

• Buccaneers/Seahawks Over 44

• Patriots/Bills Under 49.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Last Week: 4-5 (-1.22u)

2025 Season Record: 13-14 (48.1%), -1.76 units

Against the Spread

• Rams -3.5

• Chiefs +2.5

Over/Under

• Vikings/Steelers Over 40.5

• Saints/Bills Under 48.5

• Texans/Titans Over 38.5

• Commanders/Falcons Over 43.5

• Colts/Rams Under 49.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Last Week: 4-5 (-1.22u)

2025 Season Record: 9-9 (50.0%), -0.54 units

Against the Spread

• Saints +7.5 @ Seahawks

• Cowboys -1.5 @ Bears

• 49ers -2.5 vs Cardinals

Over/Under

• Falcons/Panthers Over 43.5

• Texans/Jaguars Over 43.5

• Bengals/Vikings Over 42.5

• Rams/Eagles Over 44.5

• Raiders/Commanders Over 43.5

• Cowboys/Bears Under 50.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.

Week 2 Picks

Last Week: 5-4 (+0.68u)

Against the Spread

• Vikings -3.5 vs. Falcons

• Buccaneers +2.5 @ Texans

• Chargers -3 @ Raiders

Over/Under

• Browns/Ravens Under 45.5

• 49ers/Saints Over 40.5

• Bills/Jets Under 47.5

• Cardinals/Panthers Under 44.5

• Broncos/Colts Under 43.5

• Falcons/Vikings Over 44.5

Good luck this week!

Touchdown Squad Betting Terms and Guidelines

• Minimum of 6 picks/week.

• Each bet’s suggestion is 1 unit (1%) of your season’s bankroll. Bankroll = total you are willing/can afford to risk each season.

• Try to shop around the different sportsbooks to find the best line. Picks are endorsed with a 0.5-point margin from what is used in this post - if the line is a full point or more off what’s used, the recommendation should be avoided.

• If a line moves dramatically, the post will be updated with additional commentary and strikethroughs if necessary (with replacement picks).

• Please gamble responsibly.